Climate science explainer

Are forest fires tied to climate change?

Yes. Climate change usually does not provide the spark, but it creates hotter, drier conditions that help fires spread farther, burn longer, and become more intense.

Hotter air Drier fuels Longer fire seasons
Photo via Unsplash

Where the extra warming comes from

Burning fossil fuels for electricity and transportation adds greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, strengthening the warming effect that increases fire risk.

Power plants and automobiles

Many power plants burn coal or natural gas, while most vehicles burn gasoline or diesel.

More greenhouse gases

Combustion releases carbon dioxide, which accumulates in the atmosphere and traps additional heat.

A warmer climate

Rising temperatures increase evaporation and contribute to hotter, drier conditions in many regions.

Greater fire risk

Drier vegetation, longer fire seasons, and extreme fire weather can help fires spread and intensify.

Important distinction: Vehicle and power-plant emissions do not usually ignite a forest fire directly. They contribute to climate change, which makes the conditions surrounding a fire more dangerous.

How warming raises fire risk

Climate change shifts the background conditions. Each shift can make vegetation easier to ignite and help a fire grow.

1

Higher temperatures

Warm air increases evaporation and pulls moisture from soil, plants, and fallen leaves.

2

More heat and drought

Hot, rain-free periods can turn living and dead vegetation into dry fuel.

3

Earlier snowmelt

When snow disappears earlier, forests may enter dry conditions sooner in the year.

4

Longer fire seasons

More warm, dry days create a wider window when large fires can develop.

5

More dangerous fire weather

Heat, dryness, low humidity, and wind can combine to accelerate fire spread.

A fire still needs three ingredients

Climate is an important risk multiplier, but it is not the only cause. Ignitions and available fuel also matter.

Fire weather Hot, dry, windy conditions
Ignition Lightning or human activity
Available fuel Grass, shrubs, trees, and debris
Bottom line

Burning fossil fuels warms the climate. Climate change may not strike the match, but it can make the landscape much more ready to burn.

Forest management, accumulated fuels, invasive plants, land-use choices, and patterns of human ignition can either increase or reduce local fire risk. Climate effects vary by ecosystem and region.